Commentary:
1. Equity Funds
1.1. Equity Funds Summary
Due to tariff policy flip flop decisions at the US indicating soft stance with China and US Fed Chief, the US market recovered significantly, which at least influenced shift in the focus of Indian equity investments. We can confirm it here through the divergence between Weekly Top 50 and Monthly Top 50 return summaries. The technology stocks recovered, pharma a bit, and financial stocks saw a bit of profit booking. Net net, the Indian mutual funds are still going thru volatility and churn out in bullish focus, so the consistency of leadership is becoming further murkier. This situation may continue for some more weeks.
As on last week, we saw at least financial MFs emerging as short term consistent performance leaders, but there is a temporary pause there, though most of them are still positive for the week. The Gold ETF in the equity, has given a bearish reversal indication. Though medium term gold forcast is positive, Gold will see some correction short term. Since the US equity market is already slated for stagflation impacts (inflation and recession together), and the new Trump government flip flops in policy decisions are making it difficult for the business and the market to have a confidence on future, the situation is currently worse, hence Gold is forecasted to be positive overall, though there will be corrections short term due to US equity market recovery.
For India, therefore, there can be further confusion for tech and pharma sectors with ongoing sentiment flipflops.
Due to volatility of these kind, we are unable to see the traditional performance leaders of Indian equity prior to recent six months correction, namely smallcap, midcap, large cap etc. emerging in the top 50 with consistency of top performance. Until this can happen, the Indian equity MF investments will be bit confusing for medium to longer term.
Clarity emerging thru this week for immediate investments:
- Capital Market ETFs/Index Funds across Tata, Motilal Oswal
- Various Nifty Bank ETFs / Financial Services funds
Temptation to invest in Tech funds and Pharma funds with hope of recovery needs to be witheld for now.
1.2. Equity Top 50
1.2.1. Equity Top 50
Green and Amber color marked mutual funds in the list: Since the focus is not only looking for the performance leaders, but also consistent above average performance across all the timelines, the funds are marked in Green or Amber to easily recognize consistency of perfromance among the leaders.
Green:
If the returns for all the available timelines from 1W thru 1Y is above the average within the list. The fund can not be marked green even with this rule if the returns are not available beyond a month, in which case the fund is marked as amber only.
Amber:
If the returns for all the available timelines from 1W thru 1Y is above the average within the list except for one timeline. For this exception, if any of the weekly and monthly returns are above average, then both timelines are considered to have above average
1.2.1. Equity Weekly Top 50
1.2.2 Equity Monthly Top 50
1.2.3. Equity Annual Top 50
1.3. Equity Bottom 50
Both the weekly and monthly bottom 50 lists are leveraged to identify potential bearish reversal indications of the funds. This is done by marking above average annual return in bold and below average returns for the week and month. The funds with both weekly and monthy below average, but annual above average are marked in darker red, while the funds with only one of the weekly and monthly below averages but with above average annual return are marked in light red.
Annual bottom 50 funds list is used to recognize potential bullish reversal. Any fund with above average return for both the week and the month in the list is marked as grey indicating potential bullish reversal.
1.3.1 Equity Weekly Bottom 50
1.3.2. Equity Monthly Bottom 50
1.3.3. Equity Annual Bottom 50
2. Hybrid Funds
2.1. Hybrid Funds Performance Summary
2.2. Hybrid Monthly Top 50
3. Debt Funds
3.1. Debt Funds Performance Summary
3.2. Debt Monthly Top 50
4. Commodity Funds
4.1. Commodity Funds Performance Summary
2.2. Commodity Monthly Top 50
5. Whether it is a weekly Top 50 MF report or special MF report, these are availble in the blog indicated below.
Blog: NatsFunCorner! on Blogger
https://natsfuncorner.blogspot.com/
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Disclaimer:
- This is not a solicitation for mutual fund investment nor an advice. It is only an insight to help investment decisions based on the free MF performance data downloaded from Value Research. Investment decisions are only yours to make.
- Mutual fund investments are subjected to market risk. Read the propsectus of a mutual fund for all the risk information associated prior to investment.
- The author can not be responsible for the ommissions or errors in the data from Value Research or the data processing errors if any by the author.
- All your investment decisions need to be based on your decision finally, with no blame to anyone else later.